According to analysts' forecasts, the United States may reduce its national debt by $21 trillion over the next 24 years. This could be achieved by creating a reserve of one million bitcoins within the next five years.
According to data from an asset management company, if the price of Bitcoin reaches $21 million by 2049, the U.S. BTC reserve could offset a portion of the national debt, accounting for approximately 18% of its total volume at that time.
"If the U.S. government follows the course proposed in the Bitcoin Act and accumulates 1 million BTC by 2029, our analysis shows that this reserve could help cover around $21 trillion of national debt by 2049," stated Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research, in his latest report.
According to experts' estimates, Bitcoin is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25%, increasing from $100,000 to $21 million per BTC over 24 years. Meanwhile, the U.S. national debt is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 5%, rising from $36 trillion at the beginning of 2025 to $116 trillion by 2049.
The concept of creating a national BTC reserve has already attracted international attention. In Venezuela, opposition leader María Corina Machado supports integrating cryptocurrency into the country’s financial system, arguing that it could help recover stolen assets and provide aid to vulnerable citizens.
Switzerland is also exploring this possibility, with its National Bank assessing Bitcoin’s viability as a reserve asset alongside gold. Similarly, in December, Hong Kong legislator Wu Jiezhuang proposed integrating Bitcoin into the country's financial reserves to enhance economic resilience.
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