Bitcoin at the Edge: Critical Support Zone and Uncertainty Ahead of Key Events
Following a week of high volatility, Bitcoin is teetering on the edge of a critical support zone between 82,000 84,000, which has become the "front line" for bulls and bears. Analysts are divided: some see the current stagnation as a pause before a new surge to all-time highs, while others warn of a risk of a deep correction.
Pessimistic Scenario:
“If the 82,000 level fails to hold, we’ll see a dropto 80,000, followed by $77,000–78,000. This is Bitcoin’s red zone — losing the March uptrend could trigger mass investor exits,” notes crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe.
Optimistic Scenario:
Holding 82,000 and positive macronews could propel Bitcoin to 90,000 by April.
The date dubbed “Liberation Day” by Donald Trump is causing concern due to new 25% tariffs on imported cars and auto parts. This could exacerbate inflation and pressure risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
Despite short-term risks, institutional adoption of BTC is accelerating:
GameStop announced plans to invest $1.3 billion in Bitcoin, following MicroStrategy’s strategy.
Brazil is considering allocating 5% of its gold and forex reserves to BTC. If approved, this would create “shock demand” in the market.
A gap at $84,418 has formed on the CME futures market, which historically fills 90% of the time. Traders are split:
Bears anticipate a drop to $80,000 to close the gap.
Bulls call it a trap before a rally: “Synthetic liquidity is hunting stop-losses to reverse the trend,” explains analyst Alex Krüger.
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