The changing picture is now gradually taking the dollar out of investors' sights as markets seek the first signs of rate cuts.
The DXY Dollar Index fell below 102.50 this week, poised to complete a third straight week of declines. The shift in interest rate outlook has turned investors against the dollar as markets look elsewhere for bargains. The dollar index is down about 3.5% from its 2023 peak of 107.36 and is trading around 103.30 today.
Currency traders seem overly optimistic about interest rates now that inflation has dropped significantly. With consumer prices down to 3.2% in October and the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, PCE, set to hit an expected 3.5% on Thursday, rumors are swirling that interest rates could be cut.
However, the Federal Reserve has given no indication of a potential rate cut anytime soon. However, the US central bank is expected to keep the base rate at 5.25-5.50% at its meeting on December 12-13. Only then will investors have a better understanding of the projected rate schedule.